CIES Football Observatory launches groundbreaking player transfer value calculator

The CIES Football Observatory continues its mission  of producing innovative football research. We are now pleased to launch a new online tool to allow our ever increasing audience to assess the current transfer value of players who have spent the last six months in the big-5 European leagues.

The new transfer value calculator uses an exclusive algorithm created on the basis of nearly 1,500 fee paying transfers which have occurred during the previous five years at big-5 league clubs. The exclusive algorithm will continue to be updated after every transfer window to take into account the latest market trends.

More information on the statistical model developed by the CIES Football Observatory academic team and detailed analysis of current big-5 league players is available in the new edition of the CIES Football Observatory Annual Review published this month. A free excerpt of this flagship  publication can be downloaded here.

The scientific analysis of player transfer values perfectly complements the two other main CIES Football Observatory research areas of  squad composition and pitch performance. All of these areas of study are of high importance to clubs as they are able to assist in raising performance levels from both a sporting and economic perspective.

Moreover, the transfer value calculator will help to increase the level of transparency in the beautiful game as all stakeholders – from club officials to the general public – will be able to compare actual fees paid to those estimated as the fair transfer value by the calculator.

A comparison of the most recent fee paying transfers of big-5 league players is available in the 78th edition of the Big-5 Weekly Post. Estimated fees refer to the situation on 1st June 2014 as published in the CIES Football Observatory Annual Review. The very high correlation (r² = 87%) confirms the accuracy of our approach and its predictive power.

The CIES Football Observatory academic team is at your disposal for more detailed analysis. Its services notably include the elaboration of scenarios for future transfer values. For more information about our products and services, please contact us at football.observatory(at)cies.ch.