The 455th CIES Football Observatory Weekly Post ranks teams from 54 leagues around the world according to their shooting efficiency. The latter was measured from the residuals of a statistical model explaining 78% of the differences in goals scored per team (not including penalties) on the basis of three variables produced by Wyscout: the number of expected goals according to the dangerousness of the chances created (also not including penalties), the number of shots on target and in total.
With 0.69 more non-penalty goals than expected per game, Greece’s PAOK FC have the most positive gap in absolute terms, reflecting judicious shooting decisions, as well as particularly effective finishing. Portugal’s Sporting CP (+0.59) and Italy’s AS Roma (+0.52) complete the podium. The Italians outrank Inter and Arsenal in the five major European leagues, followed by Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen and Valencia.
In terms of the most negative gaps, with 0.63 fewer goals than expected per game, Melbourne City top the list, ahead of four particularly inefficient big-5 league teams: OGC Nice (-0.56), Olympique Lyonnais (-0.49), Rayo Vallecano (-0.48) and Montpellier (-0.47). Everton and Köln are the least effective clubs in the other leagues of the European big-5, Go Ahead Eagles in the Dutch Eredivisie, Vizela and Benfica in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, as well as RSC Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League.
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